Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpot
- Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpot Odds
- Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpots
- Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpot Slot Machine
Earlier this week we talked about the Birthday Problem, as regards Rob Tinnion winning the Sunday Million twice, and the odds of that happening. At first glance, it seems like there’s a similar thing going on with the Taj Mahal’s scheme to give away their bad beat jackpots. Most players play the bad beat jackpot for the “chance” to win a bad beat jackpot. However, many players do not think about the “odds” of winning the jackpot. There are few things to understand about the bad beat jackpot odds. Hand Requirement is Main Odds Factor. NFL Odds; College Football. I won the Bad Beat Jackpot for $137,000. To this day it was the most surreal thing that has even happened to me, I was in utter shock. I actually didn’t win.
We want you to enjoy the CoinPoker experience so much, we are reducing your chances of losing! Wonder how? We are super excited to present you the Bad Beat Jackpot!
At a full-ring table the odds of any two players hitting the bad beat jackpot are 1 to 194,000. 100% Up To $2500 How Likely is a Bad Beat Jackpot in Poker? Being Dealt the Same Hand Twice? Averaged Bad Beat Jackpot = $300k - 50k = $250k $250k divided by $0.50(rake) = 500k raked pots 500k raked pots is 40% of the total hand played, which is then 1,250,000 hands. So by my estimates the odds of hitting a Bad Beat Jackpot are about 1 in a million. I wonder how close this is to the real thing.
Now a bad beat will only mean more winnings for you!
We’ve made it extremely simple and potentially beneficial for everyone! Hear us out.
Bad Beat Jackpot is triggered when a very good hand is beaten by a better one. The list of the hands that need to be beat in order for the jackpot to be paid can be found in the terms and conditions bellow. To trigger the jackpot at least 3 players must be dealt at the beginning of the hand and you’ll need to use both of your pocket cards for the winning combination. 5% of the rake generated at cash tables will be used towards growing the jackpot. All the cash tables are included in promotion, so sit anywhere you like.
You know what’s even better? As Jackpot is triggered, everyone playing at the winning table will be rewarded! This literally means that you just have to be dealt into a hand which triggers a Bad Beat Jackpot to win a share of it.
Don’t be greedy, share the news with your friends! Sharing is not only caring but it can also top up your CoinPoker wallet if you do it through our referral program.
Click below to find out all the rest juicy BBJ details.
Terms & Conditions
- All cash tables qualify for the promotion.
- 5% of all Community Contributions generated at cash game tables will go to BBJ.
- In order for a hand to be included in BBJ:
- At least 3 players must receive cards at the start of the hand.
- Hand must go to a showdown.
- It must be the first run of the community cards - in case of run it twice, only the first run qualifies.
- Both winning and losing players must use two of their hole cards to make the qualifying combination. In case of four of a kind, the two hole cards must make a pocket pair.
- The minimum requirements for the losing hand will change according to game type:
- No Limit Holdem
- AAAKK or better
- PLO
- Straight flush
- 5PLO
- Straight flush (3-7) or better
- No Limit Holdem
- The percentage of BBJ that will be paid out will vary depending on stakes and game type:
- Stakes: 0.01/0.02 – NLH: 2,5%; PLO: 1,25%; 5PLO: 1%
- Stakes: 0.02/0.05 – NLH: 5%; PLO: 2,5%; 5PLO: 2%
- Stakes: 0.05/0.10 – NLH: 10%; PLO: 5%; 5PLO: 4%
- Stakes: 0.10/0.25 – NLH: 25%; PLO: 12,5%; 5PLO: 10%
- Stakes: 0.25/0.50 – NLH: 50%; PLO: 25%; 5PLO: 20%
- Stakes: 0.50/1 and above – NLH: 100%; PLO: 50%; 5PLO: 40%
- Once BBJ conditions are met, the total payout will be shared among the players at the table in the following manner:
- 50% will go to the loser of the hand (loser‘s share).
- 20% will go to the winner of the hand (winner‘s share).
- 20% will be shared among all the remaining players that were dealt cards at the start of the qualifying hand (table‘s share).
- 10% will be used to seed the bad beat jackpot.
- In case two or more players meet the requirements of winner‘s share, the player holding the better hand will be paid out the winner‘s share and the worse of the two hands will be paid out table‘s share. In case both player‘s hold the same hand, the winner‘s share will be split evenly between the qualifying players.
- In case two or more players meet the requirements of loser‘s share, the player holding the better hand will be paid out the loser‘s share and the worse of the two hands will be paid out table‘s share. In case both player‘s hold the same hand, the loser‘s share will be split evenly between the qualifying players.
- CoinPoker reserves the right to stop or cancel the promotion at any time.
- CoinPoker reserves the right to exclude any player from the promotion and refuse to issue payouts without further explanation in case any form of room rules violation is detected.
Introduction
'Bad beat' is a term that can mean having an outstanding chance of winning a bet, only to still lose. The term can be used in any form of gambling but is most commonly applied to poker. Many poker rooms offer a progressive jackpot for very unlikely bad beats. Various other rules are added to ensure that only surprising bad beats win. Below I present tables of bad beat probabilities, starting with the most liberal rules, and ending with the most stringent. The most stringent rules, the 'Bad Beat Type 3', are the most common, in my experience.
Following are the rules for a type 1 bad beat.
Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpot Odds
- Both the bad beat and winning hand must be the best possible combination of five cards. In cases where the same hand can be created multiple ways (for example player has AK and the board shows AAKKQ) the player's hole cards will take priority.
- Both the bad beat and winning hand must make use of both hole cards.
- A full house must be beaten by a four of a kind or higher.
The rules for a type 2 bad beat are the same as type 1, plus any four of a kind, whether the bad beat hand or winning hand, must contain a pocket pair.
The rules for a type 3 bad beat are the same as type 2, plus a full house may not make use of a three of a kind entirely on the board.
In my experience, is the most common format for bad beat rules is type 3. The additional rule for type 3 makes very little difference, compared to type 2.
The following table shows the probability of each bad beat hand under all three types of rules. The table is based on a ten-player game in which nobody ever folds. The probabilities are for any pair of players meeting the qualifying rules. If you want to know YOUR probability of winning, you should divide the probability in the table by 10.
Bad Beat Probabilities
| Bad Beat Hand | Type 1 | Type 2 | Type 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any full house | 0.00203329 | 0.00050305 | 0.00049508 |
| Full house, three 3's or higher | 0.00189512 | 0.00046978 | 0.00046204 |
| Full house, three 4's or higher | 0.00175159 | 0.00043444 | 0.00042728 |
| Full house, three 5's or higher | 0.00160333 | 0.00039706 | 0.00039028 |
| Full house, three 6's or higher | 0.00144965 | 0.00035741 | 0.00035145 |
| Full house, three 7's or higher | 0.0012936 | 0.00031767 | 0.00031266 |
| Full house, three 8's or higher | 0.00113492 | 0.00027775 | 0.00027355 |
| Full house, three 9's or higher | 0.00097379 | 0.00023772 | 0.00023445 |
| Full house, three T's or higher | 0.00081113 | 0.00019759 | 0.00019503 |
| Full house, three J's or higher | 0.00064763 | 0.00015708 | 0.00015509 |
| Full house, three Q's or higher | 0.00048533 | 0.00011838 | 0.00011682 |
| Full house, three K's or higher | 0.00032561 | 0.00008130 | 0.00008033 |
| Full house, three A's or higher | 0.00016964 | 0.00004608 | 0.00004579 |
| Full house, aces full of 3's or higher | 0.00016004 | 0.00004350 | 0.00004322 |
| Full house, aces full of 4's or higher | 0.00014986 | 0.00004080 | 0.00004052 |
| Full house, aces full of 5's or higher | 0.00013898 | 0.00003797 | 0.00003763 |
| Full house, aces full of 6's or higher | 0.00012749 | 0.00003504 | 0.00003469 |
| Full house, aces full of 7's or higher | 0.00011580 | 0.00003233 | 0.00003203 |
| Full house, aces full of 8's or higher | 0.00010347 | 0.00002957 | 0.00002925 |
| Full house, aces full of 9's or higher | 0.00009067 | 0.00002673 | 0.00002645 |
| Full house, aces full of T's or higher | 0.00007714 | 0.00002383 | 0.00002359 |
| Full house, aces full of J's or higher | 0.00006286 | 0.00002064 | 0.0000204 |
| Full house, aces full of Q's or higher | 0.00004793 | 0.00001738 | 0.00001721 |
| Full house, aces full of K's or higher | 0.00003230 | 0.00001408 | 0.00001402 |
| Any four of a kind | 0.00001601 | 0.00001086 | 0.00001081 |
| Four 3's or higher | 0.00001437 | 0.00000996 | 0.00000992 |
| Four 4's or higher | 0.0000127 | 0.00000900 | 0.00000902 |
| Four 5's or higher | 0.00001099 | 0.00000805 | 0.00000804 |
| Four 6's or higher | 0.00000934 | 0.00000705 | 0.00000707 |
| Four 7's or higher | 0.0000078 | 0.00000613 | 0.00000611 |
| Four 8's or higher | 0.0000064 | 0.00000525 | 0.00000519 |
| Four 9's or higher | 0.00000519 | 0.00000439 | 0.00000435 |
| Four T's or higher | 0.00000414 | 0.00000359 | 0.00000357 |
| Four J's or higher | 0.00000317 | 0.00000287 | 0.00000285 |
| Four Q's or higher | 0.00000246 | 0.00000226 | 0.00000224 |
| Four K's or higher | 0.00000193 | 0.00000180 | 0.00000179 |
| Four A's or higher | 0.00000157 | 0.00000149 | 0.00000147 |
| Any straight flush | 0.0000012 | 0.00000122 | 0.00000121 |
| Straight flush 6 high or higher | 0.00000105 | 0.00000107 | 0.00000105 |
| Straight flush 7 high or higher | 0.00000089 | 0.00000091 | 0.00000090 |
| Straight flush 8 high or higher | 0.00000073 | 0.00000074 | 0.00000074 |
| Straight flush 9 high or higher | 0.00000056 | 0.00000059 | 0.00000058 |
| Straight flush T high or higher | 0.00000041 | 0.00000043 | 0.00000042 |
| Straight flush J high or higher | 0.00000028 | 0.00000027 | 0.00000027 |
| Straight flush Q high or higher | 0.00000012 | 0.00000012 | 0.00000012 |
Methodology
The above tables are the result of random simulations of about 2.5 billion rounds each.
Further Reading
Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpots
The video poker variant World Series of Poker - Final Table Bonus features a bad beat jackpot. See my section on that game for more information.
Odds Of Winning Poker Bad Beat Jackpot Slot Machine
Brian Alspach has a very good page on Texas Hold'em, including a section on the Bad Beat Jackpot at Party Poker.
Written by: Michael Shackleford